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Author Kapitanov, G.; Alvey, C.; Vogt-Geisse, K.; Feng, Z.L.
Title An Age-Structured Model For The Coupled Dynamics Of Hiv And Hsv-2 Type
Year 2015 Publication Mathematical Biosciences And Engineering Abbreviated Journal Math. Biosci. Eng.
Volume 12 Issue 4 Pages 803-840
Keywords HIV; HSV-2; mathematical epidemiology; co-infection; population dynamics; basic reproduction number; invasion reproduction number; partial differential equations; sensitivity analysis; age-structure; sexually transmitted diseases
Abstract Evidence suggests a strong correlation between the prevalence of HSV-2 (genital herpes) and the perseverance of the HIV epidemic. HSV-2 is an incurable viral infection, characterized by periodic reactivation. We construct a model of the co-infection dynamics between the two diseases by incorporating a time-since-infection variable to track the alternating periods of infectiousness of HSV-2. The model considers only heterosexual relationships and distinguishes three population groups: males, general population females, and female sex workers. We calculate the basic reproduction numbers for each disease that provide threshold conditions, which determine whether a disease dies out or becomes endemic in the absence of the other disease. We also derive the invasion reproduction numbers that determine whether or not a disease can invade into a population in which the other disease is endemic. The calculations of the invasion reproduction numbers suggest a new aspect in their interpretation – the class from which the initial disease carrier arises is important for understanding the invasion dynamics and biological interpretation of the expressions of the reproduction numbers. Sensitivity analysis is conducted to examine the role of model parameters in influencing the model outcomes. The results are discussed in the last section.
Address [Kapitanov, Georgi; Alvey, Christina; Vogt-Geisse, Katia; Feng, Zhilan] Purdue Univ, Dept Math, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA, Email: georgi.i.kapitanov@grnail.com;
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Amer Inst Mathematical Sciences Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1547-1063 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes WOS:000354138400012 Approved
Call Number UAI @ eduardo.moreno @ Serial 488
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