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Bergsten, G. J., Pascucci, I., Hardegree-Ullman, K. K., Fernandes, R. B., Christiansen, J. L., & Mulders, G. D. (2023). No Evidence for More Earth-sized Planets in the Habitable Zone of Kepler's M versus FGK Stars. Astron. J., 166(6), 234.
Abstract: Reliable detections of Earth-sized planets in the habitable zone remain elusive in the Kepler sample, even for M dwarfs. The Kepler sample was once thought to contain a considerable number of M-dwarf stars ( T-eff < 4000 K), which hosted enough Earth-sized ([0.5, 1.5] R-circle plus) planets to estimate their occurrence rate (eta(circle plus)) in the habitable zone. However, updated stellar properties from Gaia have shifted many Kepler stars to earlier spectral type classifications, with most stars (and their planets) now measured to be larger and hotter than previously believed. Today, only one partially reliable Earth-sized candidate remains in the optimistic habitable zone, and zero in the conservative zone. Here we performed a new investigation of Kepler's Earth-sized planets orbiting M-dwarf stars, using occurrence rate models with considerations of updated parameters and candidate reliability. Extrapolating our models to low instellations, we found an occurrence rate of eta(circle plus) = 8.58( – 8.22 )(+ 17.94) % for the conservative habitable zone (and 14.22 (- 12.71) (+ 24.96 )% for the optimistic one), consistent with previous works when considering the large uncertainties. Comparing these estimates to those from similarly comprehensive studies of Sun-like stars, we found that the current Kepler sample does not offer evidence to support an increase in eta(circle plus) from FGK to M stars. While the Kepler sample is too sparse to resolve an occurrence trend between early and mid-to-late M dwarfs for Earth-sized planets, studies including larger planets and/or data from the K2 and TESS missions are well suited to this task.
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Eberhardt, J., Hobson, M. J., Henning, T., Trifonov, T., Brahm, R., Espinoza, N., et al. (2023). Three Warm Jupiters around Solar-analog Stars Detected with TESS. Astron. J., 166(6), 271.
Abstract: We report the discovery and characterization of three giant exoplanets orbiting solar-analog stars, detected by the TESS space mission and confirmed through ground-based photometry and radial velocity measurements taken at La Silla observatory with FEROS. TOI-2373 b is a warm Jupiter orbiting its host star every similar to 13.3 days, and is one of the most massive known exoplanet with a precisely determined mass and radius around a star similar to the Sun, with an estimated mass of m(p) = 9.3(-0.2)(+0.2)Mjup and a radius of r(p) = 0.93(-0.2)(+0.2) jup. With a mean density of r = 14.4 1.0 g cm + 0.9 -3, TOI-2373 b is among the densest planets discovered so far. TOI-2416 b orbits its host star on a moderately eccentric orbit with a period of similar to 8.3 days and an eccentricity of e = 0.32 0.02 + 0.02. TOI-2416 b is more massive than Jupiter with m(p) = 3.0 +0.09 M 0.10 jup, however is significantly smaller with a radius of r(p) = 0.88 + 0.02 ,R 0.02 jup, leading to a high mean density of r = 5.4 0.3 g cm + 0.3 -3. TOI-2524 b is a warm Jupiter near the hot Jupiter transition region, orbiting its star every similar to 7.2 days on a circular orbit. It is less massive than Jupiter with a mass of m(p)=0.64- + 0.04 M 0.04 jup, and is consistent with an inflated radius of r(p)= 1.00- + 0.03 R 0.02 jup, leading to a low mean density of r = 0.79 0.08 g cm + 0.08 -3. The newly discovered exoplanets TOI-2373 b, TOI-2416 b, and TOI-2524 b have estimated equilibrium temperatures of 860 10 +10 K, 1080 10 +10 K, and 1100-20 +20 K, respectively, placing them in the sparsely populated transition zone between hot and warm Jupiters.
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